Tuesday, December 27, 2011

What Are the Odds of Winning the Football Pools?

!±8± What Are the Odds of Winning the Football Pools?

Winning the football pools on a regular basis seems like a dream (or pure fancy) to many people. It can be done though, if you have a system. How can you work the odds? It's a quiz, that a lot of citizen ask!

Let's look at the basic odds. With a coupon of 49 matches (games), we are finding to identify a winning line of 8 score draws on the British treble occasion pools if we are to win a 1st Dividend (a score draw or Sd is a result in which both teams end up with the same whole of goals, not zero). If we stake on 1 line only (nobody does, but leave that aside for now), then the odds of selecting the correct 8 matches from 49 are approximately 450 million to 1. With the Uk lottery the odds are 14 million to 1 for a six whole combination, by comparison.

If we stake 45,000 lines in an entry, then that reduces the odds (on a purely random basis), to about 10,000 to 1. That's getting a whole lot better. Now, there are complications. There will not always be 8 Sd results on a given coupon, and sometimes there may be as many as 15 or even more. During the latter part of 2009, the whole of drawn matches (both Sd and no-score draw) various in the middle of 12% (1 no score and 5 score draws) and 38% (5 no-score and 13 Sds) of the coupon. The maximum whole of score draws During that 12 week duration was 14. See the with chart.

Let's take a week on which there are 13 score draws as an example. With 13 such draws, there are 1,287 potential combinations of the 8 needed for a 1st Dividend. This helps our odds considerably - 10,000 to 1 becomes 7.77 to 1 (ok, 8 to 1 to keep it simple). That's with a random choice of our 45,000 lines.

Now, just suppose that football teams play to form (not always or consistently true), but let's say that we can predict draw games with 60% accuracy within our selections. This means that we are 20% best on the odds (10% edge above 50% random). So, odds of 8 to 1 now come to be 6.4 to 1 (or 13/2 if we were betting on horses). There are other ways of sharpening the odds in our favour, and a lot more to working a system, but I hope that this narrative has given you a flavour!

(c) Phil Marks 2009


What Are the Odds of Winning the Football Pools?

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Wednesday, December 21, 2011

heighten Football Speed Immediately with Four uncomplicated Drills

!±8± heighten Football Speed Immediately with Four uncomplicated Drills

What is the best way to growth speed for football?

Improve acceleration!

This means getting to full speed in as small time as possible. Football requires short intense bursts of speed, and the most flourishing are those that can get to top speed quickly. Remember Barry Sanders? Not the fastest guy on the field but nobody accelerated great which is why he was so hard to bring down.

Teaching acceleration however can be tricky. It requires the athlete to apply more force into the ground during push-off to perform a longer jaunt and cover more ground. Explaining this concept to any athlete, especially the younger ones, just gets them reasoning too much. This is where uncomplicated hurdle drills can make it infinitely easier by development technique improvements more automatic.

The hurdles used for these drills are only 6 and 12 inches in height but spaced properly will force a greater jaunt length. Athletes should be instructed to push-off harder versus reaching to get over the hurdles. allowable spacing will also force the athlete to stay lower and get more send lean to put the hips and legs at a greater mechanical benefit to push. It also military a more distinguished arm swing.

By adding a plyometric component to these drills, athletes will also learn how to land correctly. Just by timing them through the drills, they learn swiftly how to land properly with good body control because it significantly improves their times. Landing hard with stiff legs will slow them down, versus a soft, quiet landing that results in greater acceleration and decreased times.

Here are four drills guaranteed to improve acceleration:

1) Hurdle Starts - these are ten yard sprints using 1 to 3 hurdles (6" height). Space the hurdles far enough apart that the athlete has push hard to get over each one. Use one hurdle initially to improve the first step and eliminate stutter stepping, then progress to three. Start from a standing position or from a three point.

2) 12" Hurdle Jump to Sprint over 2 hurdles - jump off two feet over a 12" hurdle, land on two and then accelerate over the next two hurdles for a total of 10 yards. Again, hurdles should be spaced progressively supplementary apart to force more push off.

3) 12" Hurdle Jump to Sprint Laterally over 2 hurdles - same idea as #2, but move the hurdles to the side to force a cut then sprint. Start with the hurdles at a 45 degree angle to the 12" hurdles, progress to a 90 degree cut.

4) singular Leg Hurdle Hops to Sprint - set up three six inch hurdles equal distance apart. Hop over each hurdle using the same leg, then sprint 10 yards. Start by having the athlete stick the landing in a singular leg squat position between the first two hurdles to force good landing technique. As they land over the third hurdle, immediately push off the landing leg into the sprint quantum of the drill. progress by speeding up the hops between the hurdles.

Tips for Success

Hurdles must be properly spaced to force the athlete to push harder. If too far apart they will try to reach to get over them. The discrepancy between pushing and reaching is confident to see for both the coach and the athlete. Do these drills by position or with kids of similar ability. Skill players tend to be faster off the line and can cope more spacing between the hurdles. The larger athletes tend to need less spacing, too much will cause stutter steps. Be creative. There are a estimate of ways to alter these drills to make them more challenging. Integrate different jumps or convert up the direction of the sprints. Have your lineman pull over them, throw to the receivers during the jump and then accelerate over the hurdles, etc. Just so you know it works, time the 10 yard dash without the hurdles. Add 3 hurdles properly spaced and run again. Times will drop immediately in most cases. Some kids will need a few reps to learn but all my athletes improve within three trials.


heighten Football Speed Immediately with Four uncomplicated Drills

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Who Was Really the First Black Quarterback?

!±8± Who Was Really the First Black Quarterback?

Who was the first black NFL quarter-back? That is a very interesting question and the response seems to depend greatly on who you ask. You will hear names like Briscoe and Harris, Williams and Thrower but were any of them really the first black QB? Let's do a little research.

Some are convinced that the correct answer is the one and only Willie Thrower. He played for the Chicago bears in mid October of 1953. It was his first and last game. He never appeared in another game and it would be 15 years before another African-American would take a snap in a pro game. But is this historically correct? Others think it was a man named Joe Guilliam, known as Jefferson Street Joe not until the early 70s. Joe even has a web page dedicated to him with this honor and both are often credited with the title of the first black quarter back. But had there really been no one before these players?

Due to racial attitudes of the time it seems that while black players were allowed to play not many were given starting positions, and while all of the previous mentioned players do have their roles in the history of black quarter backs, and it is accurate to say that Briscoe was the first to start a game. He played for as a QB for the Denver Broncos in 1968. Time lines and history tell us that it would not be until 1974 for a black player to start a playoff game. His name was James Harris and he played for the Los Angeles Rams. It would be fourteen years before Doug Williams would be the first to start and win a championship for the Washington Redskins in 1988.

What is the best and most accurate response? The correct answer would have to be none of the above with the correct response dating back much further than common misconception.

In fact, Fritz Pollard is the correct response. He played quarterback way back in the early 20s for a team known as the Hammond Pros. Frederick Douglass "Fritz" Pollard was born in 1894 in Rogers Park, Ill., a Chicago Suburb. He was one of eight children. Pollard graduated from Lane high School in Chicago where he ran track and later went on to play college football at Brown University. In 1915 as a freshman, he led Brown to the Rose Bowl vs. Washington State. He was also the first African American to play in a Rose Bowl. Among other accomplishments in the spring of 1916, he set a world record in low hurdles for the Brown University track team, qualifying for the Olympic team. Also in 1916 he led Brown to an 8-1 record with 12 touchdowns. He was the first African American head coach in the NFL. He also organized the first inter-racial all-star game in Chicago to showcase African American players. "Frtiz" Pollard died in 1986 at the age of 92.


Who Was Really the First Black Quarterback?

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Tuesday, December 20, 2011

NCAA Football 12 Gameplay - Ohio State vs Nebraska

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The Free Blocking Zone In Youth Football

!±8± The Free Blocking Zone In Youth Football

Most Youth Football Teams play in leagues that are governed by the prevailing HIGH SCHOOL rules of the state with a few nuances like weight limits and for some; minimum play rules. Some leagues will also have special rules pertaining to unique scoring for extra point plays or exception rules on special teams plays like automatic or "no rush" punts.

What I have yet to see is any youth football league that had any special rules when it comes to the "free blocking zone". Unfortunately many youth coaches are unfamiliar with what the "free blocking zone" is and the rules that pertain to it.

What doesn't vary in youth football is the application of High School rules for everything but the exception rules that the league designates for itself. There are two sets of High School Rules, Federation Rules, which covers all states with the exception of Massachusetts and Texas, which are governed by NCAA Rules.

Unfortunately many youth football coaches get High School, College and NFL rules confused with one another and often look foolish to the referees doing their games. In our league we use local High School referees who have to endure some of these uninformed youth coaches who give many of us a bad name. Our home league referees check their egos at the door, try to be patient and try to keep the eye rolling to a minimum, which may be hard for them to do in many cases. I've also coached in leagues that didn't use High School refs, where the quality varied quite a bit.

A few years back we played a game where an opposing team was called for a blatant pass interference. The ball had been thrown well over our receivers head, but the defender came up and crushed our receiver well before the ball arrived. The opposing coach went ballistic, screamed yelled and even called time-out, yelling that the ball was "uncatchable." The prevailing High School refs doing this game endured the rant and calmly explained in low tones the ruling. Well according to High School Rules, it does not matter if the ball is "catchable" or not. This coach wasted a timeout, caused his team unwanted grief, made himself out to look foolish and burned any credibility he had with the referee crew because he didn't know the rules. Not all referees are great, but most of the High School guys are ok and they try to do a good job and earn a few extra dollars for their families. I've spoken to a number of these guys, they have great stories to tell. Some of the things they hear or have to put up with are down right embarrassing.

One of the things youth coaches often misunderstand is what the "free blocking zone" is. According to Federation High School Rules it is: According to Rule 2, Section 17 Article 1: The free blocking zone extends from 4 yards to the right and left of the ball.

It is perfectly legal in that zone for your LINEMEN to block below the waist via what most people call crab blocks, scramble blocks, shoeshine blocks and cut blocks against defenders that line up on the line of scrimmage. NCAA rules also allow for these types of blocks in this zone as well. These are all legit blocking techniques that most youth players will use if they go on to play High School football and are great equalizers when playing much bigger and more athletic teams.

Get to know High School rules and the exception rules used in your league and if you are unsure, ask, don't yell. Save yourself headache and embarrassment as well as set the right example for the kids and parents.


The Free Blocking Zone In Youth Football

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Thursday, December 15, 2011

NCAA Football 12 Road to Glory

Check out what's new with NCAA Football 12's Road to Glory. Download the NCAA Football 12 demo on June 28th! NCAA Football 12 hits stores on July 12th! Pre-Order NOW at www.Origin.com!

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